Is Advanced Micro Devices Stock Still a Buy Despite Impressive Gains?

July 28, 2023
Stephanie Bedard-Chateauneuf
Semiconductor stocks have been surging in 2023, with the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) boasting a market-beating 58% gain.

Semiconductor stocks have been surging in 2023, with the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) boasting a market-beating 58% gain. However, individual chip stocks have seen varying returns this year. Established chipmakers like Intel (NASDAQ:INTC), Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE:TSM), and Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) have advanced by 35% to 42%, trailing the broader Nasdaq QQQ Invesco ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ) and SMH, up 44% and 58% respectively. On the other hand, Nvidia (NVDA) has experienced a remarkable 219% year-to-date gain, becoming the first semiconductor stock to reach a $1 trillion market cap.

Another standout semiconductor stock is Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), which has surged by 74% in 2023, outperforming QQQ, SMH, and several of its chip stock peers.

The impressive outperformance in AMD this year can be attributed to strategic moves, such as outsourcing production to Taiwan Semiconductor, leading to a significant market share increase in the PC CPU market and enabling stronger chip design efforts. Additionally, AMD is making strategic investments in AI, aiming to challenge Nvidia in this growing market.

Despite the positive aspects, AMD faced muted Q2 guidance due to a continued demand slowdown in the PC market and a global decline in gaming demand. The acquisition of Xilinx has not yet resulted in significant revenue growth in the data center business, while rising debt and declining cash flow from operations pose challenges.

From a valuation perspective, AMD appears relatively expensive compared to some of its peers. However, analysts remain bullish on the stock, with a majority giving it a "Strong Buy" rating and a mean target price indicating potential upside.

As AMD prepares to report Q2 earnings, investors need to carefully consider the company's financial performance and market conditions before making investment decisions. While AMD's strategic moves and growing market share in the PC CPU business are positive factors, cautious and strategic buying may be advisable, given the challenges in Q1 and the relatively high valuation. The company's focus on taking on competitors and potential partnerships in the AI space offer growth opportunities, but investors should exercise patience and diligence in their investment approach.